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Plane Reliability & Crashes

Posted: 01 Mar 2024 13:31
by Svartypops
[EDIT: Many thanks to odisseus below for their corrections. I will edit this post and show what I changed.]

The reliability% on planes is supposed to determine crashes, isn't it? Not 0.07% [Previously: Not arbitrary flat 5%. 5% is one in 20. There's a 5% chance per plane per landing?]

If I have hundred planes ... that's a 7% chance that one of them crashing every trip. That's clearly bonkers. If this were real, flying would be banned, like hydrogen airships are.

Is there any chance that this % be associated with the reliability% please?

Re: Plane Reliability & Crashes

Posted: 01 Mar 2024 15:19
by odisseus
You've got it all wrong. The chance of crashing during take-off or landing is a constant value, but it's normally much lower than 5%. The elevated probability of 5 percent applies only when a large plane is using a small or commuter airport. I, for one, think that this particular aspect is fairly close to reality: the take-off and landing are statistically most dangerous stages of a flight, and the larger and heavier planes generally require a longer runway.